Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 83.359686 93.221310 103.262428 114.220301 125.811646 137.679713 150.721090
2025-09-14 68.984529 83.353688 98.589276 115.820986 134.649657 154.490044 176.870579
2025-09-21 58.754412 75.472953 93.760042 114.990358 138.720053 164.212710 193.462626
2025-09-28 49.871897 67.991101 88.404214 112.672676 140.343875 170.564948 205.734375
2025-10-05 46.355789 66.200835 89.068017 116.734445 148.733359 184.086362 225.629446
2025-10-12 42.602645 63.714949 88.583340 119.174335 155.026037 195.052791 242.498289
2025-10-19 37.818047 59.541600 85.751703 118.564712 157.549659 201.540445 254.140383
2025-10-26 33.643188 55.782236 83.133746 117.956099 159.860219 207.609672 265.155570
2025-11-02 30.547811 53.163323 81.716900 118.618090 163.521431 215.119898 277.721491
2025-11-09 27.126077 49.832844 79.191172 117.741413 165.199394 220.205532 287.395705
2025-11-16 24.489738 47.367370 77.609142 117.896349 168.006849 226.527347 298.431471
2025-11-23 21.636162 44.360040 75.144519 116.796205 169.171016 230.818286 307.024171
2025-11-30 19.914238 42.902975 74.688142 118.237386 173.474264 238.892486 320.141431
2025-12-07 18.455458 41.727190 74.537398 120.021261 178.172741 247.430118 333.813407
2025-12-14 16.267392 39.226481 72.429888 119.149324 179.476853 251.825072 342.534043
2025-12-21 13.847728 36.112524 69.295147 116.787928 178.801508 253.744021 348.243071
2025-12-28 13.510597 36.440618 71.049883 120.932237 186.360217 265.671992 365.907457
2026-01-04 12.743981 35.961363 71.594737 123.421584 191.795000 275.002667 380.465314
2026-01-11 11.227762 34.014492 69.896163 122.799654 193.194022 279.354578 389.019256
2026-01-18 9.852319 32.170991 68.253145 122.178747 194.538050 283.598150 397.412158
2026-01-25 8.894596 31.013267 67.582630 122.854112 197.529315 289.854549 408.224675
2026-02-01 7.688511 29.215449 65.835970 121.959716 198.422172 293.472226 415.811012
2026-02-08 6.803472 27.961350 64.871601 122.117787 200.661212 298.742846 425.392458